Marlowe Keynes
Marlowe Keynes

Macroeconomic Dashboard

Real-time economic indicators from the Federal Reserve (FRED). These macro signals provide context for equity analysis — interest rate environment, inflation trajectory, and labor market health.

Last updated: 4/13/2026, 10:01:24 AM

Fed Funds
—%
10Y Yield
4.29%
Yield Spread
—bps
Loading…
CPI YoY
—%
GDP Growth
—%
Unemployment
—%
Yield Curve: Loading…VIX: 21.2 (Caution)
Interest Rates (5yr)
Federal Funds Rate, 10-Year & 2-Year Treasury yields
Apr 21Sep 21Feb 22Jul 22Dec 22May 23Oct 23Mar 24Aug 24Jan 25Jun 25Nov 25Jan 26Jan 26Feb 26Feb 26Feb 26Feb 26Mar 26Mar 26Mar 26Mar 26Mar 26Apr 260%2%4%6%8%
Fed Funds 10Y Treasury 2Y Treasury
Yield Spread (10Y - 2Y)
Negative spread indicates yield curve inversion — a recession signal
Jan 26Jan 26Feb 26Feb 26Feb 26Mar 26Mar 26Mar 26Mar 26Apr 260%0.2%0.4%0.6%0.8%
Inflation (CPI YoY)
Consumer Price Index year-over-year change — Fed targets 2%
Apr 21Sep 21Mar 22Sep 22Mar 23Sep 23Mar 24Sep 24Mar 25Mar 260%3%6%9%12%2% Target
GDP Growth (Annualized)
Quarter-over-quarter GDP growth, annualized — negative indicates contraction
Unemployment Rate
U-3 unemployment rate — below 4% indicates tight labor market
Apr 21Sep 21Mar 22Sep 22Mar 23Sep 23Mar 24Sep 24Mar 25Mar 263.2%4%4.8%5.6%6.4%4%

International Macro Context

Trading Economics

Country-level economic indicators for international equity analysis. Select a country to view GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, and other macro signals.

Select a country above to view its macroeconomic indicators. This data is sourced from Trading Economics and provides context for international equity analysis.

How to Read This Dashboard

Yield Curve Inversion

When the 10Y-2Y spread goes negative, the yield curve is inverted. Historically, this has preceded recessions by 12-18 months. A deeply inverted curve (below -0.5%) signals stronger recession risk.

Fed Funds & Inflation

The Fed raises rates to combat inflation and lowers them to stimulate growth. When CPI YoY is above the 2% target, expect rates to stay elevated. Falling CPI toward 2% signals potential rate cuts ahead.

GDP & Employment

Two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth is the informal definition of recession. Unemployment below 4% indicates a tight labor market, which can be inflationary but supports consumer spending.

Impact on Equities

Rising rates compress P/E multiples (especially for growth stocks). Low unemployment supports earnings. An inverted yield curve pressures bank margins. VIX above 25 signals elevated fear and potential buying opportunities.